Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vidar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vindbjart are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Vidar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vidar hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Vidar holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vidar
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Vidar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00