Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vindbjart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Vindbjart are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Åkra are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vindbjart hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the 3. Division - Girone 4, while Vindbjart holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vindbjart
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
6.8%
Vindbjart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.50/2.50