GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 3 · 8/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gobelins · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Villefranche are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Gobelins are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gobelins hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Ligue 3, while Gobelins holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gobelins

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

14.1%

Gobelins has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VillefrancheLLDLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
GobelinsWDLWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VillefrancheGobelins
66.7Attack33.3
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power80.3
1.15xG1.35
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