GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 3/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportivo Italiano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Villa San Carlos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sportivo Italiano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Italiano hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.7% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Sportivo Italiano holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportivo Italiano

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

26.7%

Sportivo Italiano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Villa San CarlosDWLLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo ItalianoWWDDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Villa San CarlosSportivo Italiano
32.2Attack36.8
59.8Defence74.7
33.3Form56.3
43.4Power58.0
0.51xG0.86
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