GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 5/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Villa San Carlos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Argentino de Merlo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Argentino de Merlo hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Villa San CarlosLLLWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Argentino de MerloLDLLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Villa San CarlosArgentino de Merlo
32.2Attack33.3
59.8Defence66.7
33.3Form43.3
43.4Power49.6
0.68xG0.76
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