GGOALVIO

Brazil · Mineiro - 2 · 6/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Villa Nova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Villa Nova are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Coimbra are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Villa Nova hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Mineiro - 2, while Villa Nova holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Villa Nova

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Villa Nova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Villa NovaLDLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
CoimbraDW

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Villa NovaCoimbra
51.1Attack40.0
62.2Defence60.0
48.9Form33.3
54.5Power45.2
1.36xG0.80
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