GGOALVIO

Brazil · Mineiro - 2 · 7/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Villa Nova are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Aymorés are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aymorés hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Mineiro - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

35.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Villa NovaLWLWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AymorésWLDWD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Villa NovaAymorés
51.1Attack54.8
62.2Defence66.7
48.9Form50.0
54.5Power57.4
1.09xG1.14
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