Vila NovavsBotafogo SP

Vila Nova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Botafogo SP are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Vila Nova hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.