GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/13/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Thun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Vikingur Reykjavik are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FC Thun are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Thun hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while FC Thun holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Thun

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

12.4%

FC Thun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vikingur ReykjavikDLDLW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC ThunLWLLW

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Vikingur ReykjavikFC Thun
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
7.0Power97.0
1.15xG1.72
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