Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viking · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Viking are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Rosenborg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Viking hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (77.8 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the Eliteserien, while Viking holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viking
Probability
73.7%
Model confidence
12.5%
Viking has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00