Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viking · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Viking are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Haugesund are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Viking hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (73.4 v 64.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Viking holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viking
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
13.9%
Viking has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20