Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viimsi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Viimsi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Maardu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Viimsi hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.8% in the Esiliiga A, while Viimsi holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viimsi
Probability
73.8%
Model confidence
73.8%
Viimsi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40