Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viimsi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Viimsi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Elva are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Viimsi hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Esiliiga A, while Viimsi holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viimsi
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
10.6%
Viimsi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20