GGOALVIO

Estonia · Cup · 7/22/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vigri Maarjamäe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vigri Maarjamäe are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 5.50 conceded, while Joker are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Joker hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Cup, while Vigri Maarjamäe holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vigri Maarjamäe

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Vigri Maarjamäe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vigri MaarjamäeLLLW

GF 4 · GA 22 · avg 1.00/5.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 4/4
JokerLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 2.50/3.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Vigri MaarjamäeJoker
0.0Attack16.7
66.7Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power42.7
2.04xG1.90
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