Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Honka W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
VIFK W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Honka W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Honka W hold a 62.0-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.4% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Honka W holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Honka W
Probability
75.4%
Model confidence
75.4%
Honka W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00