Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vidar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vidar are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Djerv are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.8 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Vidar holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vidar
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Vidar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 18 · avg 1.20/3.60
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40