Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arendal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vidar are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Arendal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Arendal hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 57.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the 2. Division - Group 1, while Arendal holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arendal
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
9.5%
Arendal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60