Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viborg · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Viborg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Aarhus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Viborg hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Superliga, while Viborg holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viborg
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
14.1%
Viborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60