Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trofense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Vianense are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Trofense are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Trofense hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.6% in the Liga 3, while Trofense holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Trofense
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
22.6%
Trofense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20