VfL Wolfsburgvs
Lyon
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
VfL Wolfsburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lyon are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyon
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40