Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auerbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
VfL Halle are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Auerbach are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Auerbach hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (40.4 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.0% in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd, while Auerbach holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Auerbach
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
65.0%
Auerbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00