GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kassel 2 are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

10.9%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgDWWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kassel 2LLW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Vfb MarburgKassel 2
55.6Attack22.2
66.7Defence55.6
77.8Form33.3
70.7Power39.0
2.03xG1.14
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