GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ETSV Hamburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

VfB Lübeck are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while ETSV Hamburg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and ETSV Hamburg hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while ETSV Hamburg holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ETSV Hamburg

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

ETSV Hamburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VfB LübeckWDLWD

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
ETSV HamburgWWWWD

GF 21 · GA 3 · avg 4.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
VfB LübeckETSV Hamburg
40.0Attack50.0
33.3Defence33.3
40.0Form50.0
40.3Power45.8
1.69xG1.80
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