Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Njardvik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Vestri are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Njardvik are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Njardvik hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the 1. Deild, while Njardvik holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Njardvik
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Njardvik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80