Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grotta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Vestri are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Grotta are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Grotta hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the 1. Deild, while Grotta holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grotta
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Grotta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 19 · avg 1.20/3.80
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20