Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vestri · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vestri are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Grindavik are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.5 against 44.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the 1. Deild, while Vestri holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vestri
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Vestri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60