Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vernier · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Vernier are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Meyrin are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vernier hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Vernier holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vernier
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Vernier has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00