Verlvs
MSV Duisburg
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 8/15/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Verl · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Verl are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while MSV Duisburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and MSV Duisburg hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the 3. Liga, while Verl holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Verl
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
12.2%
Verl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20