Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Verden 04 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Verden 04 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Hemmingen are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Verden 04 hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen, while Verden 04 holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Verden 04
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Verden 04 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00