Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Veraguas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tauro FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tauro FC hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40