Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vendaval · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Vendaval are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Batanecos are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Batanecos hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Copa Presidente, while Vendaval holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vendaval
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
14.8%
Vendaval has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50