Venados FCvs
Tapatío
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Venados FC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tapatío are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tapatío hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Venados FC
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20