Venados FCvsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Venados FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.