GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Velo Clube are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while XV de Piracicaba are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and XV de Piracicaba hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Velo ClubeLDDWD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
XV de PiracicabaWWDWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Velo ClubeXV de Piracicaba
33.3Attack40.5
66.7Defence66.7
42.9Form52.4
49.6Power54.7
0.70xG0.75
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