GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Velo Clube are 0W-3D-1L in their last 4 (LDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Velo Clube hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Velo ClubeLDDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
Sampaio Corrêa RJWDLDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Velo ClubeSampaio Corrêa RJ
33.3Attack25.0
66.7Defence66.7
42.9Form36.1
49.6Power45.5
0.72xG0.45
View match centre →