GGOALVIO

Velo Clube logoVelo ClubevsNova Iguaçu logoNova Iguaçu

COMPLETED

Brazil · Serie D · 5/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Velo Clube are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Nova Iguaçu are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Velo Clube hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Velo ClubeDWDWL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Nova IguaçuDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Velo ClubeNova Iguaçu
33.3Attack23.3
66.7Defence66.7
42.9Form40.0
49.6Power46.1
0.72xG0.44
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