Velez Sarsfieldvs
Union Santa Fe
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/27/2026, 9:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Velez Sarsfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Velez Sarsfield are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Union Santa Fe are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Velez Sarsfield holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Velez Sarsfield
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Velez Sarsfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40