Velez Sarsfieldvs
River Plate
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/22/2026, 10:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Velez Sarsfield are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while River Plate are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00