GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/22/2026, 10:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Velez Sarsfield are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while River Plate are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Velez SarsfieldDWDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
River PlateWLLDW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Velez SarsfieldRiver Plate
38.1Attack38.9
76.2Defence72.2
60.3Form50.0
61.0Power54.7
0.70xG0.50
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