Velez Sarsfieldvs
Newells Old Boys
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 5/4/2026, 10:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Velez Sarsfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Velez Sarsfield are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Newells Old Boys are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.8% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Velez Sarsfield holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Velez Sarsfield
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
Velez Sarsfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20