GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 5/4/2026, 10:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Velez Sarsfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Velez Sarsfield are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Newells Old Boys are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.8% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Velez Sarsfield holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Velez Sarsfield

Probability

58.8%

Model confidence

58.8%

Velez Sarsfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Velez SarsfieldWDDWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Newells Old BoysDWDWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Velez SarsfieldNewells Old Boys
38.1Attack31.7
76.2Defence46.7
60.3Form31.7
61.0Power39.1
1.41xG0.39
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