Velez Sarsfieldvs
Independiente
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Velez Sarsfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Velez Sarsfield are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Independiente are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.9% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Velez Sarsfield holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Velez Sarsfield
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
21.9%
Velez Sarsfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80