GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Velez Sarsfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Velez Sarsfield are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Independiente are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.9% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Velez Sarsfield holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Velez Sarsfield

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

21.9%

Velez Sarsfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Velez SarsfieldWWLDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
IndependienteWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Velez SarsfieldIndependiente
38.1Attack44.4
76.2Defence60.3
60.3Form47.6
61.0Power52.7
1.00xG0.57
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