GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 5/11/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Velez Sarsfield are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gimnasia L.P. are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Velez SarsfieldDWDDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Gimnasia L.P.WWWWW

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Velez SarsfieldGimnasia L.P.
38.1Attack39.4
76.2Defence63.6
60.3Form57.6
61.0Power55.9
0.91xG0.51
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