GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/25/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Velez Sarsfield are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Riestra are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Velez SarsfieldWDWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo RiestraDDLWD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Velez SarsfieldDeportivo Riestra
38.1Attack18.3
76.2Defence75.0
60.3Form28.3
61.0Power42.2
0.66xG0.28
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