Velez Sarsfieldvs
Boca Juniors
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/9/2026, 1:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Velez Sarsfield are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Boca Juniors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60