Velesvs
Chelyabinsk
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 7/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Veles · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Veles are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chelyabinsk are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Veles hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the First League, while Veles holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Veles
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Veles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80