GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/11/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Velež · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Velež are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while SV Kapfenberg are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Velež hold a 38.6-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 28.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Velež holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Velež

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

55.7%

Velež has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VeležLWDDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SV KapfenbergDDLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
VeležSV Kapfenberg
58.3Attack54.2
58.3Defence0.0
75.0Form25.0
67.4Power28.9
3.31xG1.31
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