GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Velež · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Velež are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dunajska Streda are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Dunajska Streda hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Velež holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Velež

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Velež has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VeležLWDLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dunajska StredaDWWLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
VeležDunajska Streda
16.7Attack58.3
58.3Defence25.0
33.3Form58.3
39.1Power47.5
1.49xG1.38
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