Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Velden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Velden are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Lebring are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lebring hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 29.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Velden holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Velden
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Velden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 18 · avg 2.00/3.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60