Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hillerød · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Vejle are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hillerød are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hillerød hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Hillerød holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hillerød
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Hillerød has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20