GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 8/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasco DA Gama · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Vasco DA Gama are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Santos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.5 against 43.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Serie A, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vasco DA Gama

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

14.0%

Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vasco DA GamaDWDWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SantosLWDWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vasco DA GamaSantos
36.5Attack46.0
50.8Defence44.4
34.9Form34.9
43.5Power43.9
1.30xG1.24
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