GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 5/13/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasco DA Gama · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vasco DA Gama are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Paysandu are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasco DA Gama hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vasco DA Gama

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vasco DA GamaWWDWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PaysanduWWWLD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Vasco DA GamaPaysandu
58.3Attack66.7
75.0Defence41.7
66.7Form58.3
68.0Power57.5
1.64xG1.03
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